Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 1027.867468 1163.453508 1313.515910 1492.488533 1700.866753 1936.702171 2225.053371
2025-09-07 829.807261 1012.114502 1232.565369 1521.224215 1892.835346 2360.054334 2999.745964
2025-09-14 693.979586 886.905352 1133.629092 1476.823652 1949.078442 2586.859435 3532.074034
2025-09-21 598.949843 793.821365 1054.238933 1434.403183 1986.626897 2777.898648 4031.914475
2025-09-28 524.200418 715.795997 981.304356 1384.882595 1998.676136 2924.230568 4480.050679
2025-10-05 492.798034 692.809127 980.044850 1434.547113 2158.526688 3308.703346 5364.302908
2025-10-12 459.405379 662.389271 963.106173 1456.106441 2274.541299 3637.691244 6215.482741
2025-10-19 428.598920 632.098049 942.131861 1467.035459 2372.143891 3947.404073 7089.732200
2025-10-26 401.558965 604.592844 921.975608 1475.611843 2464.839713 4259.820184 8029.504272
2025-11-02 384.319106 590.610904 921.445312 1516.113400 2617.691564 4703.932897 9326.645615
2025-11-09 365.981435 572.987481 912.805659 1540.702111 2743.465914 5114.793520 10644.994090
2025-11-16 347.725383 553.782511 899.400253 1554.592199 2849.703525 5502.315342 12000.579671
2025-11-23 329.586253 533.809046 883.725257 1564.244148 2952.633201 5908.719775 13527.768421
2025-11-30 315.797653 520.254544 878.224361 1592.839829 3099.121958 6438.548793 15521.170687
2025-12-07 292.726434 488.458031 836.786555 1546.102836 3079.034636 6585.536829 16533.560010
2025-12-14 272.189316 459.658902 798.428472 1501.327547 3056.868630 6723.339109 17559.554815
2025-12-21 252.599777 431.204058 758.447024 1449.085709 3011.009557 6795.605330 18415.659452
2025-12-28 247.411111 428.885281 768.019542 1501.480043 3213.172228 7531.488037 21560.886158
2026-01-04 239.086578 420.028239 764.045754 1524.229824 3348.329596 8119.535720 24437.273586
2026-01-11 230.133053 409.309520 755.445751 1535.763547 3457.656177 8659.596818 27350.345896
2026-01-18 221.559764 398.717577 746.213277 1544.815040 3562.081422 9207.932211 30511.234297
2026-01-25 216.823573 395.310078 751.401294 1587.567057 3760.757890 10079.146101 35307.743278
2026-02-01 210.757208 388.813183 749.566487 1613.527419 3918.696016 10862.750542 40113.640216